L.A.’s ‘Mansion’ Tax Crippled Housing Development—Socialism, Again Tried and Failed

The Left tends to manufacture and exploit social problems like the so-called ‘homeless crisis’ (actually a crisis caused by enabling and funding the lifestyles of drug addicts and the mentally ill) to fund its organizations, which have made hundreds of millions from ‘fixing it’ while making the crisis worse.

This from frontpafemag.com.

And the Left also sells its solutions as only affecting the rich. Which inevitably is quickly learned by ALL not to be true.

LA’s so-called ‘mansion tax’ was one such manufactured problem. Here’s how it worked out:

As designed, the tax is to be collected on real estate sales and transfers valued over $5 million and as a result the luxury home market in Los Angeles has suffered a sharp decline. Commercial sales also have slowed. To the extent that the tax prevents the construction of new apartments and raises the cost of commercial real estate transactions, tenants and consumers feel the financial impact in higher rents and prices.

Measure ULA was sold to voters as a tax on the sale of mansions to provide programs for homelessness and the prevention of homelessness. Voters were told it would raise $600 million to $1.1 billion annually. Most voters probably thought they’d never have to pay any part of that.

Wrong on all counts.

The tax rate is 4% of the sale price (or value at time of transfer) up to $10 million. Above that, the tax rate jumps to 5.5%. Even properties in foreclosure are subject to the tax on the sale price. On paper this may have looked good, but it was too good.

Many owners rushed to sell before the tax took effect, but even so, the steep drop of nearly 70% in the 12 months since the tax took effect may have taken city officials by surprise. Only 125 homes priced over $5 million sold in L.A. since April 1, 2023, compared to 416 in the previous 12-month period.

As of March 8, according to the city controller’s office, Measure ULA has brought in just $173.6 million, about a quarter of what the city had estimated [and] 6 months later the effects are even worse on housing across the board.

Now, bad news made worse: The actual result of the measure, according to multiple sources, is that ULA has put a damper on all real estate development, resulting in less development of both market-rate and affordable projects…

According to a February 2023 article in the Real Deal, ULA has dried up multifamily financing in L.A because:

The transfer tax makes it difficult to estimate what a property’s value will look like over the next three, five or 10 years—typical hold periods for a multifamily developer and owner. And for construction loans specifically, lenders may not want to convert the loan into a traditional commercial loan when construction is finished, given the uncertainty around how much the asset will be able to sell for once it’s finished.

An April 2024 study from Hilgard Zenith Economics examining residential building permits shows a 19% year over year decrease in residential housing starts between 2023 and 2024. The difference in production between 2022 and 2024 is even more pronounced; two years ago, the city issued three times as many housing permits. The only overall increase in building permits was for so-called ED1 projects—defined as 100% affordable. But these developments only constitute 11% of total output…

According to the L.A. Business Journal, ‘Sales are down across all asset types. In quarters two and three of this year, multifamily properties priced above $5 million sold for a total of $320 million. That’s far below the combined $2 billion sold in those same quarters last year.’

The ‘Mansion tax’ crippled housing development and sales and created a $400 million deficit.

The local budgetary impacts of ULA’s revenue shortfall might also be dire. The L.A. City budget for fiscal year 2024-2025, apparently drafted before the actual numbers were in, ‘allocates over $400 million in funding anticipated to be generated by Measure ULA to the formula categories in the measure and enables the city to spend receipts collected by the measure.’

It’s worth noting that this city’s latest budget already has a potential $400 million deficit.

Socialism, again tried and failed.

But no actual lessons will be learned from this and the other fiscal disasters of the California political class now aspiring to run America.